According to The Soldier, Saul Badjie is now head of the Government security apparatus.
Clearly, the Jammeh regime is entering into its final phase. The contestants to replace him are clearly identified by The Soldier. The question is who will emerge as the new ruler of Gambia? Will it be Saul Badjie or one of the others?
There is a strong possibility of a falling out of these individuals and a power struggle. The “gang of four” toppled the Jawara regime, but out of Yaya, Edward Singateh, Sanna Sabally, and Hydara, Yaya emerged as the eventual president. He did so by treachery, scheming and manoeuvrings.
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Given the present situation, it is almost impossible to think of a peaceful, constitutional change of government. Looking at our West Africa neighbours, notably Ghana and Nigeria we have seen a succession of military governments with eventual transition to civilian government. Can we learn from the mistakes or experiences of these countries?
Historically the removal of a dictatorial president followed a by weak or divided government has led to the disintegration of authority and civil war. Our so-called opposition is far too weak and divided to rapidly form a government and fill the power vacuum that will be left by Yaya. There is no credible government in exile, so this is not an option if Gambia is to be held together as a united country.
A strong leader will be essential to keep the peace and lead the country until it can be secured and stabilised after Yaya’s departure. As a seasoned soldier and head of security, Saul may be the best man to do this. However unpleasant the idea may appear, this is the reality Gambians are faced with - someone to ensure internal and external security while the institutions destroyed by Yaya are rebuilt.
Is Saul Badjie the man to do it ? Whoever takes over power Gambians need to rally behind him, even if he initiates another military government. Democracy is not possible for Gambia in the immediate aftermath of Yaya. The risk of civil war and long term instability it to high.
Who will be the new ruler, and will he be any better than Yaya? However things work out, expect violence and bloodshed in the very near future. This will not be a rapid and peaceful transition of as in the previous coups. Yaya has sowed too much division, bad blood and hatred.
During the Second World War, while under German occupation, France banned all public dances and celebrations. They rightly recognised that some should not be celebrating while others were suffering. What of us in Gambia? This Tobaski, is not a time to celebrate. Gambians should be praying for the well being and survival of our nation. Prayers make a difference!!
Written By A British National